Bis hierher alles geklappt. Picasa 3.0 wurde installiert und kann ausgeführt werden. 
Dann habe ich die 3.9er gezogen und folgenden code ausgeführt:

bk@bk-ubuntu:~$ sudo WINEPREFIX=/tmp/.wine_picasa /opt/google/picasa/3.0/wine/bin/wine ~/picasa39-setup.exe
fixme:advapi:CheckTokenMembership ((nil) 0x128d10 0x33f8f0) stub!
fixme:shell:SHAutoComplete SHAutoComplete stub
fixme:ntdll:server_ioctl_file Unsupported ioctl 24000 (device=2 access=1 func=0 method=0)
fixme:ntdll:server_ioctl_file Unsupported ioctl 24000 (device=2 access=1 func=0 method=0)
fixme:ntdll:server_ioctl_file Unsupported ioctl 24000 (device=2 access=1 func=0 method=0)
fixme:advapi:CheckTokenMembership ((nil) 0x12c070 0x33fdc0) stub!
err:menubuilder:fork_and_wait wineshelllink returned 1
err:menubuilder:fork_and_wait wineshelllink returned 1
err:menubuilder:fork_and_wait wineshelllink returned 1
fixme:ole:CoResumeClassObjects stub
fixme:ras:RasEnumEntriesA ((nil),(null),0x33d250,0x33d218,0x33d214),stub!
fixme:wininet:InternetGetConnectedStateExW always returning LAN connection.
fixme:wininet:InternetGetConnectedState always returning LAN connection.
fixme:wininet:InternetGetConnectedStateExW always returning LAN connection.
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption INTERNET_OPTION_PER_CONNECTION_OPTION stub
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption Unhandled dwOption 4
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption Unhandled dwOption 3
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption Unhandled dwOption 2
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption Unhandled dwOption 9
fixme:wininet:InternetGetConnectedStateExW always returning LAN connection.
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption INTERNET_OPTION_PER_CONNECTION_OPTION stub
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption Unhandled dwOption 4
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption Unhandled dwOption 3
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption Unhandled dwOption 2
fixme:wininet:INET_QueryOption Unhandled dwOption 9
fixme:wininet:InternetSetOptionW Option INTERNET_OPTION_CONNECT_TIMEOUT (10000): STUB
fixme:wininet:InternetSetOptionW INTERNET_OPTION_SEND/RECEIVE_TIMEOUT 10000
fixme:wininet:InternetSetOptionW INTERNET_OPTION_SEND/RECEIVE_TIMEOUT 10000
fixme:wininet:InternetGetConnectedStateExW always returning LAN connection.
fixme:shell:DllCanUnloadNow stub
err:menubuilder:fork_and_wait wineshelllink returned 1
err:menubuilder:InvokeShellLinker failed to fork and exec wineshelllink
fixme:shell:DllCanUnloadNow stub
err:menubuilder:fork_and_wait wineshelllink returned 1
err:menubuilder:InvokeShellLinker failed to fork and exec wineshelllink
fixme:shell:DllCanUnloadNow stub
err:menubuilder:fork_and_wait wineshelllink returned 1
err:menubuilder:InvokeShellLinker failed to fork and exec wineshelllink
fixme:shell:DllCanUnloadNow stub
bk@bk-ubuntu:~$ sudo cp -r /tmp/.wine_picasa/drive_c/Program\ Files/Google/Picasa3/* /opt/google/picasa/3.0/wine/drive_c/Program\ Files/Google/Picasa3/
cp: Aufruf von stat für „/tmp/.wine_picasa/drive_c/Program Files/Google/Picasa3/*“ nicht möglich: Datei oder Verzeichnis nicht gefunden